← Süper Lig 2023 · Sat, Dec 9, 10:30 AM UTC · ref: Ç. Altay
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Antalyaspor win | 51% | 1.93 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.75 |
| Karagumruk win | 23% | 4.23 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Antalyaspor −0.5 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Karagumruk −0.5 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.85 |
| Over | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | 🟨 | Otabek Shukurov · Karagumruk |
| 7' | ⚽ | Veysel Sarı · Antalyaspor |
| 13' | ⚽ | Adam Buksa · Antalyaspor |
| 22' | 🟨 | Veysel Sarı · Antalyaspor |
| 22' | 🟨 | Güven Yalçın · Karagumruk |
| 30' | 🟨 | Levent Mercan · Karagumruk |
| 42' | ⚽ | Güven Yalçın · Karagumruk |
| 45' | 🟥 | Erdal Rakip · Antalyaspor |
| 54' | 🟨 | Sagiv Jehezkel · Antalyaspor |
| 57' | 🟨 | Davide Biraschi · Karagumruk |
| 67' | 🟨 | Ataberk Dadakdeniz |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 2 | Shots | 11 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 17 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 7 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Antalyaspor | Karagumruk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | — | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | — | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | — | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | — | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.00 |
| venue | Corendon Airlines Park |
| 75' | 🟨 | Marcus Rohdén · Karagumruk |
| 90' | 🟨 | Adam Buksa · Antalyaspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Stefano Sturaro · Karagumruk |
| 90' | 🟨 | Federico Ceccherini · Karagumruk |
| coach days | 799.00 | 8.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.85 | 2.07 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1550.95 | 1625.77 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 39.81 | 10.92 |
| eye test v1 | 0.56 | -0.23 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.95 | 0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.80 | 58.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | — |
| league points | 23.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.40 | 77.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.80 | 47.60 |
| rest days | 7.73 | 7.73 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.44 | 1.35 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.36 | -0.22 |
| solidity v1 | 0.44 | 1.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 1.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 9.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 29.44 | 29.99 |
| state index | 0.64 | 0.42 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.78 | -0.00 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.10 | 1.11 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.29 | 1.10 |