← Süper Lig 2023 · Mon, Dec 4, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: B. Şimşek
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 79% | 1.20 |
| Draw | 13% | 7.74 |
| Sivasspor win | 8% | 15.12 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sivasspor −2 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Fenerbahce −2 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 70% | 1.37 |
| Under | 30% | 3.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | 🟨 | Samet Akaydın · Fenerbahce |
| 17' | ⚽ | Sebastian Szymański · Fenerbahce |
| 42' | ⚽ | İrfan Can Kahveci · Fenerbahce |
| 50' | ⚽ | Rey Manaj · Sivasspor |
| 56' | 🟨 | Charis Charisis · Sivasspor |
| 68' | ⚽ (og) | Alaaddin Okumuş · Fenerbahce |
| 75' | ⚽ | Edin Dzeko · Fenerbahce |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 18 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fenerbahce | Sivasspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| venue | Ülker Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi |
| coach days | 551.00 | 3.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.87 | 1.52 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1801.80 | 1503.68 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -55.03 | 11.23 |
| eye test v1 | 0.06 | 1.07 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.17 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.90 | 54.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.73 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.50 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.54 | 0.67 |
| league points | 41.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.80 | 82.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.60 | 48.00 |
| rest days | 3.88 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.37 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 2.56 | 1.07 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.00 | 15.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.67 | 0.15 |
| solidity v1 | 0.11 | -0.58 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.70 | 6.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 7.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 7.00 |
| squad age | 26.51 | 29.38 |
| state index | 0.44 | -0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.88 | -0.75 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.39 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.35 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.12 | 1.45 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.29 | 1.24 |