← Süper Lig 2023 · Sun, Dec 3, 04:00 PM UTC · ref: Z. Küçük
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Besiktas win | 44% | 2.18 |
| Ankaragücü win | 30% | 3.39 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.65 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Besiktas +0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Ankaragücü +0.25 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.83 |
| Under | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | ⚽ | Ali Sowe · Ankaragücü |
| 29' | 🟨 | Salih Uçan · Besiktas |
| 42' | 🟨 | Pedrinho · Ankaragücü |
| 74' | ⚽ | Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain · Besiktas |
| 90' | 🟨 | Cenk Tosun · Besiktas |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 1 | Corners | 5 |
| 19 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ankaragücü | Besiktas |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| venue | Eryaman Stadyumu |
| coach days | 63.00 | 2.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 1.69 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1499.86 | 1709.79 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.81 | -21.80 |
| eye test v1 | -0.40 | 0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.23 | -0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.70 | 38.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.66 |
| league points | 18.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.40 | 81.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.80 | 55.60 |
| rest days | 8.13 | 2.93 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.06 | 1.75 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.17 | 0.57 |
| solidity v1 | 0.28 | -0.42 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 27.75 | 27.98 |
| state index | 0.08 | 0.06 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.66 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.90 | 1.35 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.90 | 1.45 |