← Süper Lig 2023 · Fri, Dec 1, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: K. Sağlam
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karagumruk win | 57% | 1.72 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.86 |
| İstanbulspor win | 18% | 5.26 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karagumruk −0.75 | 50% | 1.93 |
| İstanbulspor −0.75 | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.88 |
| Over | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 35' | 🟨 | Federico Ceccherini · Karagumruk |
| 41' | 🟨 | Mehmet Yeşil · İstanbulspor |
| 45' | ⚽ (og) | David Jensen · Karagumruk |
| 49' | ⚽ | Ryan Mendes · Karagumruk |
| 53' | ⚽ | Can Keleş · Karagumruk |
| 56' | 🟨 | Güven Yalçın · Karagumruk |
| 83' | 🟨 | Ibrahim Drešević · Karagumruk |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 6 |
| 5 | On target | 0 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karagumruk | İstanbulspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | Atatürk Olimpiyat Stadı |
| coach days | 0.00 | 426.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.95 | 1.83 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1619.90 | 1401.68 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 21.32 | -26.96 |
| eye test v1 | -0.22 | 0.26 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.03 | 0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.60 | 47.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.85 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.71 |
| league points | 20.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.80 | 53.60 |
| rest days | 5.04 | 6.27 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.25 | 0.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.39 | 0.32 |
| solidity v1 | 0.72 | -1.50 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 29.71 | 27.15 |
| state index | 0.58 | -0.84 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.01 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.22 | 1.93 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.01 | 1.51 |