← Süper Lig 2023 · Fri, Dec 1, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: Y. Arslan
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Antalyaspor win | 43% | 2.25 |
| Hatayspor win | 30% | 3.47 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Antalyaspor +0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Hatayspor +0.25 | 50% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.83 |
| Over | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | ⚽ | Carlos Strandberg · Hatayspor |
| 35' | ⚽ | Erdoğan Yeşilyurt · Antalyaspor |
| 39' | 🟨 | Chandrel Massanga · Hatayspor |
| 57' | ⚽ | Adam Buksa · Antalyaspor |
| 62' | ⚽ | Kerim Alıcı · Hatayspor |
| 67' | 🟨 | Cengiz Demir · Hatayspor |
| 69' | 🟨 | Veysel Sarı · Antalyaspor |
| 71' | ⚽ | Guy-Marcelin Kilama · Hatayspor |
| 88' | ⚽ (pen) | Adam Buksa · Antalyaspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ramzi Safuri · Antalyaspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 13 |
| 8 | On target | 7 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 5 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hatayspor | Antalyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.53 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 1.00 |
| venue | Mersin Stadyumu |
| coach days | 456.00 | 791.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.27 | 2.26 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1434.86 | 1552.59 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.92 | 52.97 |
| eye test v1 | 0.32 | 0.20 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.24 | 0.59 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.70 | 56.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.08 | 1.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.69 |
| league points | 22.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.60 | 76.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.80 | 47.20 |
| rest days | 6.27 | 5.17 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.47 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.33 | -0.32 |
| solidity v1 | -1.18 | 1.19 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 7.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 25.62 | 29.78 |
| state index | -0.20 | 0.72 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.38 | -0.39 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.75 | 0.89 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.63 | 1.07 |