← Süper Lig 2023 · Sun, Nov 26, 04:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Kardeşler
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 76% | 1.25 |
| Draw | 15% | 6.70 |
| Karagumruk win | 9% | 11.72 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karagumruk −1.75 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Fenerbahce −1.75 | 50% | 1.94 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 64% | 1.50 |
| Under | 36% | 2.65 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 34' | 🟨 | Federico Ceccherini · Karagumruk |
| 39' | ⚽ | Can Keleş · Karagumruk |
| 45' | 🟨 | Miguel Crespo · Fenerbahce |
| 47' | 🟨 | Matías Dituro · Karagumruk |
| 48' | ⚽ (pen) | Dušan Tadić · Fenerbahce |
| 56' | 🟨 | Levent Mercan · Karagumruk |
| 58' | ⚽ | Dušan Tadić · Fenerbahce |
| 68' | 🟨 | Sebastian Szymański · Fenerbahce |
| 81' | 🟨 | Ibrahim Drešević · Karagumruk |
| 87' | 🟨 | Dušan Tadić · Fenerbahce |
| 90' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 9 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 1 | Corners | 2 |
| 20 | Fouls | 17 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fenerbahce | Karagumruk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Ülker Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi |
| 90' | 🟨 | Cengiz Ünder · Fenerbahce |
| coach days | 543.00 | 209.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.80 | 1.75 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.77 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1827.49 | 1623.49 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -41.26 | 42.00 |
| eye test v1 | 0.96 | -0.00 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.61 | 0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.40 | 56.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.70 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.56 | 0.91 |
| league points | 38.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.20 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.60 | 48.00 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 15.13 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 2.53 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 12.00 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.20 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.05 | -0.18 |
| solidity v1 | 1.32 | 0.90 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.80 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 28.26 | 27.64 |
| state index | 0.76 | 0.76 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.70 | 0.12 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.53 | 1.17 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.11 |