← Süper Lig 2023 · Sat, Nov 11, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Erdoğan
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karagumruk win | 43% | 2.22 |
| Sivasspor win | 29% | 3.51 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.42 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karagumruk −0.25 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Sivasspor −0.25 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.83 |
| Over | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Ziya Erdal · Sivasspor |
| 42' | ⚽ | Valentin Eysseric · Karagumruk |
| 57' | 🟨 | Can Keleş · Karagumruk |
| 70' | 🟨 | Yunus Konak · Sivasspor |
| 73' | 🟨 | Levent Mercan · Karagumruk |
| 79' | ⚽ | Güven Yalçın · Karagumruk |
| 85' | ⚽ | Serdar Dursun · Karagumruk |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 11 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 16 | Fouls | 4 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karagumruk | Sivasspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| venue | Atatürk Olimpiyat Stadı |
| coach days | 194.00 | 133.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.73 | 1.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1613.64 | 1510.86 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 21.08 | -2.32 |
| eye test v1 | -0.15 | 1.21 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.70 | 56.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.90 | 0.71 |
| league points | 17.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 81.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.00 | 45.20 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.21 | 1.15 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 15.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.10 | 0.22 |
| solidity v1 | 0.97 | 0.32 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 5.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 7.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.80 |
| squad age | 27.73 | 30.23 |
| state index | 0.26 | -0.00 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.55 | -1.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.37 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.04 | 1.16 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.02 | 1.57 |