← Süper Lig 2023 · Sat, Nov 11, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: T. Doman
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor win | 42% | 2.34 |
| Gaziantep win | 30% | 3.37 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gaziantep −0.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Alanyaspor −0.25 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.80 |
| Over | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 38' | 🟨 | Yusuf Özdemir · Alanyaspor |
| 45' | 🟨 | Furkan Bayır · Alanyaspor |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Alexandru Maxim · Gaziantep |
| 45' | ⚽ | Denis Drăguş · Gaziantep |
| 65' | 🟨 | Loide Augusto · Alanyaspor |
| 87' | 🟨 | Alexandru Maxim · Gaziantep |
| 90' | ⚽ | Brayan Riascos · Gaziantep |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 13 | Shots | 9 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 8 | Corners | 1 |
| 12 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Alanyaspor | Gaziantep |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | Kırbıyık Holding Stadyumu |
| coach days | 10.00 | 924.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 2.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1482.33 | 1354.36 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -20.89 | 21.49 |
| eye test v1 | -0.29 | -0.27 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.26 | 0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.80 | 57.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.64 |
| league points | 14.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.20 | 75.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.60 | 39.00 |
| rest days | 4.83 | 4.83 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 0.92 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.13 | -0.65 |
| solidity v1 | -0.17 | 0.77 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 27.39 | 30.79 |
| state index | -0.68 | -0.49 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.36 | -0.68 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.27 | 1.00 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.24 | 1.21 |