← Süper Lig 2023 · Sun, Oct 29, 04:00 PM UTC · ref: C. Aydın
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ankaragücü win | 36% | 2.70 |
| Samsunspor win | 35% | 2.82 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.32 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ankaragücü +0 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Samsunspor +0 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.88 |
| Over | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 54' | 🟨 | Rick Van Drongelen · Samsunspor |
| 71' | ⚽ | Efkan Bekiroğlu · Ankaragücü |
| 75' | ⚽ | Ali Sowe · Ankaragücü |
| 81' | 🟨 | Osman Çelik · Samsunspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 3 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 8 | Fouls | 14 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ankaragücü | Samsunspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.19 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.15 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.18 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| venue | Eryaman Stadyumu |
| coach days | 28.00 | 28.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 6.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 1.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 7.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 2.53 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.27 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1492.06 | 1473.03 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.89 | -32.51 |
| eye test v1 | -0.52 | -0.71 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.12 | 0.51 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.50 | 54.12 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.62 |
| league points | 10.00 | 3.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 11.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 82.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 55.40 |
| rest days | 7.13 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | — |
| season ppg | 0.83 | 0.30 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 6.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.13 | 0.35 |
| solidity v1 | -0.39 | 1.22 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.20 |
| squad age | 28.51 | 27.53 |
| state index | 0.02 | -1.00 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.02 | 0.46 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.34 | 0.64 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.06 | 1.00 |