← Süper Lig 2023 · Fri, Oct 27, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Saka
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hatayspor win | 40% | 2.49 |
| Kayserispor win | 32% | 3.01 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.42 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kayserispor −0.25 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Hatayspor −0.25 | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.90 |
| Under | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Visar Bekaj · Hatayspor |
| 12' | 🟨 | Burak Bekaroğlu · Hatayspor |
| 24' | 🟨 | Fisayo Dele-Bashiru · Hatayspor |
| 33' | ⚽ (og) | Burak Bekaroğlu · Kayserispor |
| 47' | ⚽ | Aylton Boa Morte · Kayserispor |
| 68' | ⚽ (pen) | Renat Dadaşov · Hatayspor |
| 86' | 🟨 | Renat Dadaşov · Hatayspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Rayane Aabid · Hatayspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 8 |
| 9 | On target | 2 |
| 12 | Corners | 1 |
| 10 | Fouls | 15 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hatayspor | Kayserispor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.77 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 1.40 |
| venue | Mersin Stadyumu |
| coach days | 421.00 | 56.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.36 | 2.97 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1424.94 | 1532.01 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 46.14 | -8.81 |
| eye test v1 | -0.34 | -0.25 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.02 | 0.30 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.50 | 60.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.78 |
| league points | 16.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.80 | 80.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.20 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 5.04 | 6.27 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.71 |
| season ppg | 1.45 | 1.36 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.02 | 0.39 |
| solidity v1 | 0.67 | -0.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 26.65 | 29.69 |
| state index | 0.15 | -0.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.53 | 0.44 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.82 | 1.15 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.07 | 1.51 |