← Süper Lig 2023 · Sun, Oct 22, 04:00 PM UTC · ref: V. Bayarslan
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 82% | 1.16 |
| Draw | 12% | 8.59 |
| Hatayspor win | 6% | 17.77 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce −2 | 55% | 1.79 |
| Hatayspor −2 | 45% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 69% | 1.40 |
| Under | 31% | 3.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | Sebastian Szymański · Fenerbahce |
| 15' | ⚽ | Bright Osayi-Samuel · Fenerbahce |
| 20' | 🟨 | Fisayo Dele-Bashiru · Hatayspor |
| 39' | ⚽ | Edin Dzeko · Fenerbahce |
| 55' | ⚽ | Faouzi Ghoulam · Hatayspor |
| 61' | 🟨 | Guy-Marcelin Kilama · Hatayspor |
| 63' | ⚽ | İrfan Can Kahveci · Fenerbahce |
| 69' | 🟨 | Burak Bekaroğlu · Hatayspor |
| 73' | 🟨 | Rodrigo Becão · Fenerbahce |
| 73' | 🟨 | Didier Lamkel Zé · Hatayspor |
| 90' | ⚽ | Rayane Aabid · Hatayspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 8 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fenerbahce | Hatayspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.46 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 3.80 |
| venue | Ülker Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi |
| coach days | 508.00 | 416.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.74 | 2.41 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1863.98 | 1426.56 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 25.29 | 53.61 |
| eye test v1 | 1.86 | -0.18 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.25 | -0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.00 | 58.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 15.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 1.89 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.60 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.72 |
| league points | 30.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 19.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.20 | 81.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 63.40 | 47.00 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 3.00 | 1.60 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 18.00 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | 2.08 | 0.05 |
| solidity v1 | 2.36 | 0.85 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.90 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 28.33 | 26.70 |
| state index | 1.98 | 0.31 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.66 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.77 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 2.81 | 1.20 |