← Süper Lig 2023 · Sun, Oct 22, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: Y. Arslan
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ankaragücü win | 45% | 2.15 |
| İstanbulspor win | 29% | 3.49 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.64 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ankaragücü +0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| İstanbulspor +0.25 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.85 |
| Under | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | ⚽ | Djakaridja Traore · İstanbulspor |
| 19' | 🟨 | Olimpiu Moruțan · Ankaragücü |
| 24' | ⚽ (pen) | Tolga Ciğerci · Ankaragücü |
| 41' | 🟨 | Hayrullah Bilazer · Ankaragücü |
| 62' | ⚽ | Emir Kaan Gültekin · İstanbulspor |
| 86' | 🟨 | Uroš Radaković · Ankaragücü |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 7 | Shots | 9 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 14 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | İstanbulspor | Ankaragücü |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.62 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| venue | Necmi Kadıoğlu Stadyumu |
| coach days | 386.00 | 21.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -4.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.30 | 1.17 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1425.69 | 1502.54 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -37.36 | 35.32 |
| eye test v1 | -1.44 | -0.49 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.19 | -0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.20 | 57.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.76 |
| league points | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.40 | 46.80 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 15.00 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 0.22 | 0.91 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -12.40 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.87 | -0.31 |
| solidity v1 | -1.05 | -0.31 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 26.58 | 28.26 |
| state index | -1.47 | 0.34 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.61 | -0.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.12 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.90 | 1.38 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.93 |