← Süper Lig 2023 · Sat, Oct 21, 10:30 AM UTC · ref: B. Şeker
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kayserispor win | 44% | 2.18 |
| Rizespor win | 29% | 3.50 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.53 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kayserispor −0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Rizespor −0.25 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.93 |
| Under | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 31' | ⚽ | Mame Thiam · Kayserispor |
| 40' | 🟨 | Aylton Boa Morte · Kayserispor |
| 56' | 🟨 | Dal Varešanović · Rizespor |
| 57' | 🟨 | Lionel Carole · Kayserispor |
| 66' | ⚽ (pen) | Mame Thiam · Kayserispor |
| 68' | 🟨 | Kartal Kayra Yılmaz · Kayserispor |
| 70' | ⚽ | Altin Zeqiri · Rizespor |
| 87' | 🟨 | Martin Minchev · Rizespor |
| 89' | ⚽ (pen) | Mame Thiam · Kayserispor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Julian Jeanvier · Kayserispor |
| 90' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 12 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 12 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kayserispor | Rizespor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 3.60 |
| venue | RHG Enertürk Enerji Stadyumu |
| coach days | 50.00 | 142.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.03 | 1.64 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1521.66 | 1469.58 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.47 | 35.52 |
| eye test v1 | -0.98 | -0.61 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.24 | -0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.30 | 58.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.73 |
| league points | 12.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 77.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.20 | 45.40 |
| rest days | 13.90 | 13.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.67 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.20 | 1.56 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.80 | -4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.17 | -0.32 |
| solidity v1 | -0.33 | -0.35 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.00 |
| state index | -0.40 | 0.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.53 | -0.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.41 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.96 | 1.13 |