← Süper Lig 2023 · Sun, Oct 8, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: T. Numanoğlu
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Besiktas win | 77% | 1.24 |
| Draw | 14% | 6.51 |
| İstanbulspor win | 8% | 13.12 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Besiktas −1.75 | 52% | 1.86 |
| İstanbulspor −1.75 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 65% | 1.47 |
| Under | 35% | 2.78 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Vincent Aboubakar · Besiktas |
| 47' | 🟨 | Jackson Muleka · Besiktas |
| 54' | 🟨 | Amir Hadžiahmetović · Besiktas |
| 73' | 🟨 | Demeaco Duhaney · İstanbulspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | David Sambissa · İstanbulspor |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Rachid Ghezzal · Besiktas |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 4 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Besiktas | İstanbulspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.44 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | Tüpraş Stadyumu |
| coach days | 7.00 | 372.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | -3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.59 | 4.67 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.26 |
| elo | 1772.22 | 1428.36 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -42.49 | -46.65 |
| eye test v1 | 0.09 | -1.32 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.33 | -0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.30 | 60.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.41 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | 0.78 |
| league points | 13.00 | 2.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.20 | 79.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.00 | 45.80 |
| rest days | 2.84 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | — |
| season ppg | 1.63 | 0.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.40 | -10.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 5.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.70 | -0.59 |
| solidity v1 | -0.93 | -0.68 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 1.80 |
| squad age | 28.78 | 26.69 |
| state index | 0.22 | -1.51 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.13 | 0.74 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.12 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.14 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.66 | 1.61 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.25 | 0.53 |