← Süper Lig 2023 · Sun, Oct 8, 10:30 AM UTC · ref: A. Bitigen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rizespor win | 36% | 2.70 |
| Samsunspor win | 35% | 2.71 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.47 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Samsunspor +0 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Rizespor +0 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.90 |
| Over | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Zafer Görgen · Rizespor |
| 13' | 🟥 | Mithat Pala · Rizespor |
| 33' | 🟨 | Mickael Tirpan · Samsunspor |
| 45' | 🟨 | Landry Dimata · Samsunspor |
| 78' | 🟨 | Emre Kılınç · Samsunspor |
| 80' | ⚽ | Benhur Keser · Rizespor |
| 81' | 🟨 | Benhur Keser · Rizespor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Dal Varešanović · Rizespor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 8 |
| 9 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rizespor | Samsunspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.18 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.18 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.20 |
| venue | Çaykur Didi Stadyumu |
| coach days | 129.00 | 7.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 2.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.65 | — |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.31 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1460.87 | 1477.11 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 42.87 | -43.62 |
| eye test v1 | -0.26 | -1.23 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.50 | 0.41 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.00 | 50.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.60 |
| league points | 11.00 | 1.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.00 | 80.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.60 | 50.80 |
| rest days | 6.90 | 8.73 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | — |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 0.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.00 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.14 | 0.00 |
| solidity v1 | -0.85 | 0.10 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 1.83 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 1.60 |
| squad age | 25.73 | 27.85 |
| state index | -0.09 | -1.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.24 | 0.74 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.65 | 0.90 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.33 | 0.94 |