← Süper Lig 2023 · Sun, Oct 1, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: C. Aydın
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 76% | 1.26 |
| Draw | 15% | 6.55 |
| Rizespor win | 9% | 11.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rizespor −1.75 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Fenerbahce −1.75 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 65% | 1.46 |
| Under | 35% | 2.80 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Sebastian Szymański · Fenerbahce |
| 45' | 🟨 | Taha Şahin · Rizespor |
| 47' | ⚽ | İrfan Can Kahveci · Fenerbahce |
| 62' | ⚽ | Edin Dzeko · Fenerbahce |
| 75' | ⚽ | Dušan Tadić · Fenerbahce |
| 80' | 🟨 | Jonjo Shelvey · Rizespor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Joshua King · Fenerbahce |
| 90' | 🟨 | Adolfo Gaich · Rizespor |
| 90' | ⚽ | Joshua King · Fenerbahce |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 23 | Shots | 5 |
| 11 | On target | 1 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 10 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fenerbahce | Rizespor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.20 |
| venue | Ülker Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi |
| coach days | 487.00 | 122.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 6.00 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.16 | 1.70 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1844.72 | 1463.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 22.53 | 47.14 |
| eye test v1 | 0.91 | 0.01 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.12 | -0.44 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.90 | 58.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 15.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.42 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.76 |
| league points | 21.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 15.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.60 | 78.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.00 | 48.80 |
| rest days | 2.83 | 7.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 3.00 | 1.57 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.60 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.80 | 0.09 |
| solidity v1 | 1.61 | 0.73 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 27.95 | 25.58 |
| state index | 1.69 | 0.29 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.20 | -0.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.95 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.67 | 1.41 |