← Süper Lig 2023 · Sat, Sep 30, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: Ç. Altay
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Antalyaspor win | 51% | 1.88 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.92 |
| İstanbulspor win | 24% | 4.09 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Antalyaspor +0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| İstanbulspor +0.5 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.81 |
| Under | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | ⚽ | Valon Ethemi · İstanbulspor |
| 38' | 🟨 | Erdal Rakip · Antalyaspor |
| 50' | ⚽ | Adam Buksa · Antalyaspor |
| 60' | ⚽ | Adam Buksa · Antalyaspor |
| 85' | 🟨 | Muammer Sarıkaya · İstanbulspor |
| 85' | 🟨 | Güray Vural · Antalyaspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jackson · İstanbulspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Britt Assombalonga · Antalyaspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 4 | Shots | 17 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 8 |
| 8 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | İstanbulspor | Antalyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| venue | Necmi Kadıoğlu Stadyumu |
| coach days | 364.00 | 729.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 5.93 | 3.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1437.83 | 1516.11 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -49.39 | 13.49 |
| eye test v1 | -1.42 | 0.15 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.49 | 0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.20 | 50.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.45 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.66 |
| league points | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.80 | 81.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.60 | 49.40 |
| rest days | 3.83 | 6.83 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 0.29 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -9.80 | 3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.59 | -0.01 |
| solidity v1 | -0.61 | 0.75 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 27.00 | 30.23 |
| state index | -1.53 | 0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.64 | -0.10 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.64 | 0.92 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.65 | 1.00 |