← Süper Lig 2023 · Mon, Sep 25, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: B. Şeker
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor win | 44% | 2.20 |
| Hatayspor win | 28% | 3.42 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.57 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor +0.25 | 52% | 1.90 |
| Hatayspor +0.25 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.93 |
| Under | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | 🟨 | Batista Mendy · Trabzonspor |
| 38' | 🟨 | Didier Lamkel Zé · Hatayspor |
| 44' | ⚽ | Edin Višća · Trabzonspor |
| 49' | 🟨 | Anastasios Bakasetas · Trabzonspor |
| 62' | ⚽ | Paul Onuachu · Trabzonspor |
| 72' | ⚽ | Rigoberto Rivas · Hatayspor |
| 82' | 🟨 | Joelson Fernandes · Hatayspor |
| 88' | ⚽ | Didier Lamkel Zé · Hatayspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Fisayo Dele-Bashiru · Hatayspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Oguzhan Matur · Hatayspor |
| 90' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 6 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 9 | Corners | 1 |
| 22 | Fouls | 13 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hatayspor | Trabzonspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.57 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | Mersin Stadyumu |
| 90' | 🟨 | Renat Dadaşov · Hatayspor |
| 90' | ⚽ | Fisayo Dele-Bashiru · Hatayspor |
| coach days | 389.00 | 177.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.25 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 2.49 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1385.94 | 1652.11 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 32.56 | 41.77 |
| eye test v1 | 0.13 | -0.00 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.01 | -0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.40 | 54.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 3.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.85 | 2.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | — |
| league points | 9.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 74.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 48.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.43 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 1.71 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.17 | -0.25 |
| solidity v1 | 0.49 | -0.15 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 5.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 26.13 | 26.46 |
| state index | -0.25 | 0.83 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.27 | 0.00 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.95 | 1.43 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.51 | 1.33 |