← Süper Lig 2023 · Sun, Sep 17, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: H. Meler
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 67% | 1.40 |
| Draw | 20% | 5.43 |
| Antalyaspor win | 13% | 7.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce −1.25 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Antalyaspor −1.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.60 |
| Under | 40% | 2.44 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | 🟨 | Rodrigo Becão · Fenerbahce |
| 29' | 🟨 | Ömer Toprak · Antalyaspor |
| 31' | ⚽ | Adam Buksa · Antalyaspor |
| 45' | 🟨 | Erdoğan Yeşilyurt · Antalyaspor |
| 45' | ⚽ | Edin Dzeko · Fenerbahce |
| 56' | 🟨 | Adam Buksa · Antalyaspor |
| 56' | ⚽ | İrfan Can Kahveci · Fenerbahce |
| 64' | ⚽ | Adam Buksa · Antalyaspor |
| 72' | 🟨 | Bright Osayi-Samuel · Fenerbahce |
| 80' | ⚽ | Sebastian Szymański · Fenerbahce |
| 85' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 14 |
| 10 | On target | 6 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fenerbahce | Antalyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.54 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Ülker Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi |
| 88' | 🟨 | Sagiv Jehezkel · Antalyaspor |
| coach days | 473.00 | 716.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 7.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.93 | 3.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1822.20 | 1505.65 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 39.84 | -17.71 |
| eye test v1 | 0.82 | 0.08 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.18 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.10 | 52.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 15.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.45 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.67 |
| league points | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.00 | 85.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.60 | 57.20 |
| rest days | 13.80 | 14.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.60 | — |
| season ppg | 3.00 | 0.75 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.10 | 0.57 |
| solidity v1 | 1.85 | 1.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 28.12 | 29.93 |
| state index | 1.66 | -0.39 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.61 | 0.42 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.84 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.98 | 0.92 |