← Süper Lig 2023 · Sat, Sep 16, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Ü. Öztürk
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kayserispor win | 42% | 2.30 |
| Gaziantep win | 30% | 3.27 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.49 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gaziantep −0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Kayserispor −0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.90 |
| Under | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ (pen) | Mame Thiam · Kayserispor |
| 77' | 🟨 | Janio Bikel · Gaziantep |
| 89' | ⚽ | Mame Thiam · Kayserispor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 16 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 7 |
| 11 | Fouls | 8 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kayserispor | Gaziantep |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 3.40 |
| venue | RHG Enertürk Enerji Stadyumu |
| coach days | 15.00 | 868.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.18 | 2.92 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1536.16 | 1302.20 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.06 | -18.85 |
| eye test v1 | -0.73 | -0.74 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.13 | 0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.70 | 63.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -2.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.58 |
| league points | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 20.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.20 | 74.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.80 | 43.80 |
| rest days | 13.80 | 13.80 |
| season ppg | 1.40 | 0.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | -5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.37 | -0.82 |
| solidity v1 | 0.78 | -1.59 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 28.38 | 28.72 |
| state index | 0.09 | -2.04 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.15 | -0.34 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.07 | 2.30 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.72 |