← Süper Lig 2023 · Sun, Sep 3, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: A. Kardeşler
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 54% | 1.80 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.95 |
| Ankaragücü win | 21% | 4.52 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ankaragücü +0.75 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Fenerbahce +0.75 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.77 |
| Under | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | 🟨 | Mert Çetin · Ankaragücü |
| 60' | ⚽ | Bright Osayi-Samuel · Fenerbahce |
| 73' | 🟨 | Uroš Radaković · Ankaragücü |
| 78' | 🟨 | İsmail Yüksek · Fenerbahce |
| 84' | 🟨 | İsmail Yüksek · Fenerbahce |
| 84' | 🟥 | İsmail Yüksek · Fenerbahce |
| 90' | 🟨 | Fred · Fenerbahce |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 14 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 15 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ankaragücü | Fenerbahce |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.62 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.47 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| venue | Eryaman Stadyumu |
| coach days | 186.00 | 459.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.84 | 3.82 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1470.41 | 1819.00 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.35 | 37.60 |
| eye test v1 | -0.04 | 1.12 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.14 | 0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.20 | 49.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 2.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.42 | 1.62 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.55 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.74 |
| matches since blank | 12.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.00 | 84.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.60 | 60.80 |
| rest days | 7.10 | 3.07 |
| season ppg | 0.60 | 3.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.01 | 1.44 |
| solidity v1 | -0.22 | 1.95 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 6.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 27.84 | 27.99 |
| state index | -0.54 | 1.43 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.00 | 0.88 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.12 | 0.32 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.12 | 2.10 |