← Süper Lig 2023 · Fri, Sep 1, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Erdoğan
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rizespor win | 46% | 2.05 |
| Karagumruk win | 28% | 3.31 |
| Draw | 26% | 4.13 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rizespor −0.25 | 56% | 1.80 |
| Karagumruk −0.25 | 44% | 2.21 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.85 |
| Over | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 33' | 🟨 | Ibrahim Drešević · Karagumruk |
| 45' | ⚽ | Dal Varešanović · Rizespor |
| 66' | 🟨 | Halil Ibrahim Pehlivan · Rizespor |
| 74' | 🟨 | Emirhan Topçu · Rizespor |
| 77' | 🟨 | Gökhan Akkan · Rizespor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Otabek Shukurov · Karagumruk |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 17 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 1 | Corners | 6 |
| 12 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rizespor | Karagumruk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.18 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| venue | Çaykur Didi Stadyumu |
| coach days | 92.00 | 123.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.81 | 1.71 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1434.07 | 1643.13 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.77 | 37.30 |
| eye test v1 | -0.17 | -0.80 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.10 | -0.52 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.90 | 63.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 2.16 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.71 |
| league points | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 82.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.40 | 41.60 |
| rest days | 6.07 | 5.07 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.75 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | -4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.38 | -0.64 |
| solidity v1 | 0.13 | 0.31 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.20 |
| state index | -0.37 | 0.64 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.28 | -0.28 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.12 | 1.20 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.91 | 0.48 |