← Süper Lig 2023 · Sun, Aug 27, 04:15 PM UTC · ref: T. Doman
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karagumruk win | 40% | 2.48 |
| Ankaragücü win | 32% | 3.05 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ankaragücü −0.25 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Karagumruk −0.25 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.86 |
| Under | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 44' | ⚽ | Marcus Rohdén · Karagumruk |
| 55' | 🟨 | Nihad Mujakić · Ankaragücü |
| 57' | ⚽ | Efkan Bekiroğlu · Ankaragücü |
| 80' | 🟨 | Adnan Ugur · Karagumruk |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 7 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 15 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karagumruk | Ankaragücü |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.20 |
| venue | Necmi Kadıoğlu Stadyumu |
| coach days | 118.00 | 179.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.75 | 2.35 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1649.23 | 1464.34 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 56.83 | -17.08 |
| eye test v1 | -0.45 | 0.09 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.36 | 0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.10 | 53.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.62 |
| league points | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.80 | 79.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.60 | 45.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 5.93 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 0.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.49 | -0.03 |
| solidity v1 | 0.30 | -1.09 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 29.10 | 28.23 |
| state index | 1.01 | -0.67 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.39 | -0.42 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.47 | 1.39 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.44 | 1.35 |