← Süper Lig 2023 · Sat, Aug 26, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: Ü. Öztürk
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sivasspor win | 39% | 2.61 |
| Antalyaspor win | 33% | 2.93 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Antalyaspor −0.25 | 56% | 1.73 |
| Sivasspor −0.25 | 44% | 2.22 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.87 |
| Over | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Samu Sáiz · Sivasspor |
| 10' | ⚽ | Sam Larsson · Antalyaspor |
| 20' | 🟨 | Britt Assombalonga · Antalyaspor |
| 36' | ⚽ | Gerson Rodrigues · Sivasspor |
| 42' | 🟨 | Dario Šarić · Antalyaspor |
| 72' | 🟨 | Gerson Rodrigues · Sivasspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Rey Manaj · Sivasspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ufuk Akyol · Antalyaspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 6 | Shots | 8 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sivasspor | Antalyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| venue | Yeni Sivas 4 Eylül Stadyumu |
| coach days | 56.00 | 694.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.01 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 3.95 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1531.99 | 1504.07 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.42 | -16.20 |
| eye test v1 | -0.76 | 0.16 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | -0.42 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.40 | 54.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.64 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 82.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.60 | 51.80 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 8.03 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 0.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.71 | 0.18 |
| solidity v1 | 0.38 | 0.22 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 29.61 | 30.10 |
| state index | 0.11 | -0.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.33 | -0.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.52 | 1.15 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.83 | 0.99 |