← Süper Lig 2023 · Sun, Aug 13, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: A. Bitigen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 75% | 1.25 |
| Draw | 15% | 6.82 |
| Gaziantep win | 9% | 11.09 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce −1.75 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Gaziantep −1.75 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 67% | 1.42 |
| Under | 33% | 2.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Edin Dzeko · Fenerbahce |
| 18' | ⚽ | Edin Dzeko · Fenerbahce |
| 20' | 🟨 | Lazar Marković · Gaziantep |
| 20' | 🟨 | Alexandru Maxim · Gaziantep |
| 23' | 🟨 | Alexandru Maxim · Gaziantep |
| 23' | 🟥 | Alexandru Maxim · Gaziantep |
| 42' | 🟨 | Max Gradel · Gaziantep |
| 45' | ⚽ | Arda Kızıldağ · Gaziantep |
| 59' | 🟨 | Furkan Soyalp · Gaziantep |
| 77' | 🟨 | Mustafa Eskihellaç · Gaziantep |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 21 | Shots | 4 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 3 | Corners | 1 |
| 13 | Fouls | 12 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fenerbahce | Gaziantep |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| venue | Ülker Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi |
| coach days | 438.00 | 834.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.06 | 2.64 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1781.41 | 1321.05 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.32 | -41.55 |
| eye test v1 | 0.76 | 0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.42 | 0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.20 | 64.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -3.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 3.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.65 | 0.00 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.67 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 20.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.00 | 74.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.40 | 47.20 |
| rest days | 3.03 | 30.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.04 | -0.40 |
| solidity v1 | 1.48 | — |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.10 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 27.53 | 28.03 |
| state index | 1.08 | -2.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.95 | -0.47 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.39 | — |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.44 | — |