← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Sun, Jun 2, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: N. Laforge
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent win | 38% | 2.53 |
| Genk win | 36% | 2.72 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.70 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent +0 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Genk +0 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.62 |
| Under | 40% | 2.38 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | 🟨 | Mujaid Sadick · Genk |
| 21' | 🟨 | Matisse Samoise · Gent |
| 29' | 🟨 | Bilal El Khannouss · Genk |
| 60' | ⚽ | Andrew Hjulsager · Gent |
| 81' | 🟨 | Zakaria El Ouahdi · Genk |
| 82' | 🟨 | Mark McKenzie · Genk |
| 85' | 🟨 | Tarik Tissoudali · Gent |
| 90' | 🟨 | Christopher Baah · Genk |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 20 | Fouls | 12 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Genk | Gent |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |
| venue | Cegeka Arena |
| coach days | 1.00 | 1279.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 4.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 7.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.70 | 3.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1646.27 | 1696.65 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -29.52 | 2.42 |
| eye test v1 | -0.26 | 0.46 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.46 | -0.49 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.00 | 58.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.49 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 1.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| league points | 70.00 | 82.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.20 | 82.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.40 | 52.80 |
| rest days | 6.79 | 7.71 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.46 | 1.71 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.58 | 0.79 |
| solidity v1 | -1.05 | 0.28 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 23.58 | 25.65 |
| state index | -0.26 | 0.60 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.70 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.73 | 1.10 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.19 | 1.84 |