← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Sun, May 26, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: L. D'hondt
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise win | 60% | 1.60 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.40 |
| Genk win | 18% | 5.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk −1 | 51% | 1.93 |
| St. Gilloise −1 | 49% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 65% | 1.47 |
| Under | 35% | 2.77 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 37' | ⚽ | Charles Vanhoutte · St. Gilloise |
| 42' | 🟨 | Henok Teklab · St. Gilloise |
| 63' | 🟨 | Andi Zeqiri · Genk |
| 66' | 🟨 | Charles Vanhoutte · St. Gilloise |
| 78' | 🟥 | Zakaria El Ouahdi · Genk |
| 80' | ⚽ (pen) | Gustaf Nilsson · St. Gilloise |
| 88' | 🟨 | Christian Burgess · St. Gilloise |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 21 | Shots | 9 |
| 8 | On target | 2 |
| 10 | Corners | 4 |
| 18 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | St. Gilloise | Genk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade Joseph Mariën |
| coach days | 330.00 | 25.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.75 | 1.73 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1814.96 | 1652.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 23.23 | -36.09 |
| eye test v1 | 1.03 | -0.04 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.24 | -0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 70.80 | 65.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.59 |
| league points | 98.00 | 70.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.20 | 83.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.40 | 53.80 |
| rest days | 7.21 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 2.09 | 1.49 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.60 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.40 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.43 | 0.56 |
| solidity v1 | 0.47 | -1.00 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.20 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 27.14 | 24.42 |
| state index | 0.97 | -0.39 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.19 | 0.45 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.07 | 1.67 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.45 | 1.32 |