← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Sat, May 25, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: W. Smet
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen win | 55% | 1.85 |
| Standard win | 23% | 4.39 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.52 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen −0.75 | 53% | 1.86 |
| Standard −0.75 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 69% | 1.39 |
| Under | 31% | 3.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | ⚽ | Lion Lauberbach · Mechelen |
| 17' | ⚽ | Lion Lauberbach · Mechelen |
| 51' | ⚽ | Henry Lawrence · Standard |
| 68' | 🟨 | Boli Bolingoli · Mechelen |
| 84' | ⚽ | Soufiane Benjdida · Standard |
| 90' | 🟨 | Daam Foulon · Mechelen |
| 90' | ⚽ | Lion Lauberbach · Mechelen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 7 |
| 9 | On target | 4 |
| 9 | Corners | 4 |
| 8 | Fouls | 6 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mechelen | Standard |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| venue | AFAS Stadion |
| coach days | 206.00 | 145.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.10 | 2.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1604.91 | 1482.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.11 | -63.13 |
| eye test v1 | 0.41 | 0.09 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.01 | -0.77 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.80 | 58.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -2.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 3.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 1.15 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.56 | 0.58 |
| league points | 69.00 | 51.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 11.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.00 | 81.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.80 | 49.20 |
| rest days | 7.09 | 6.99 |
| scorer concentration | 0.14 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.47 | 1.09 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.66 | 0.10 |
| solidity v1 | -0.03 | -1.41 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 27.00 | 22.70 |
| state index | 0.50 | -1.47 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.53 | -0.26 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.38 | 1.87 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.49 | 1.13 |