← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Mon, May 20, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: N. Laforge
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk win | 55% | 1.75 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.11 |
| Antwerp win | 22% | 4.43 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Antwerp −0.75 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Genk −0.75 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.57 |
| Under | 39% | 2.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | ⚽ | Andi Zeqiri · Genk |
| 65' | 🟨 | Carlos Cuesta · Genk |
| 78' | 🟨 | Zakaria El Ouahdi · Genk |
| 89' | 🟨 | Mujaid Sadick · Genk |
| 90' | 🟨 | Victor Udoh · Antwerp |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 16 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 2 | Corners | 8 |
| 10 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Genk | Antwerp |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | Cegeka Arena |
| coach days | 19.00 | 750.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.73 | 1.65 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1644.02 | 1661.52 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -58.76 | -52.49 |
| eye test v1 | 0.62 | -0.35 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.21 | 0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.90 | 55.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.53 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.57 | 0.65 |
| league points | 67.00 | 66.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.40 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.60 | 53.00 |
| rest days | 8.91 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.46 | 1.43 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.00 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.77 | -0.21 |
| solidity v1 | -0.81 | -0.82 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 24.47 | 25.28 |
| state index | -0.77 | -0.78 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.08 | 0.60 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.46 | 1.33 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.70 | 0.91 |