← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Sun, May 19, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: W. De Cremer
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise win | 48% | 2.05 |
| Club Brugge win | 27% | 3.62 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.10 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise +0.5 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Club Brugge +0.5 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 62% | 1.55 |
| Under | 38% | 2.54 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | ⚽ | Gustaf Nilsson · St. Gilloise |
| 32' | ⚽ | Felipe Augusto · Club Brugge |
| 45' | 🟨 | Hugo Siquet · Club Brugge |
| 50' | ⚽ | Alessio Castro-Montes · St. Gilloise |
| 64' | 🟨 | Jesper Daland · Club Brugge |
| 73' | 🟨 | Gustaf Nilsson · St. Gilloise |
| 84' | 🟨 | Senna Miangue · Club Brugge |
| 90' | 🟨 | Cameron Puertas · St. Gilloise |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 14 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 17 | Fouls | 18 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Club Brugge | St. Gilloise |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| venue | Jan Breydelstadion |
| coach days | 626.00 | 323.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.73 | 2.92 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1789.99 | 1803.63 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 24.18 | 29.39 |
| eye test v1 | 0.12 | 1.11 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.16 | 0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 46.50 | 69.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.41 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.70 |
| league points | 136.00 | 95.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.20 | 74.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.80 | 44.40 |
| rest days | 5.71 | 5.71 |
| scorer concentration | 0.47 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.77 | 2.07 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.20 | 16.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.82 | -0.36 |
| solidity v1 | -0.94 | 0.55 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 6.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 7.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 7.00 |
| squad age | 24.20 | 27.35 |
| state index | 0.87 | 0.95 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.12 | -1.39 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.38 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.91 | 1.10 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.39 | 1.41 |