← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Sat, May 18, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: K. Van Damme
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent win | 45% | 2.28 |
| Standard win | 31% | 3.50 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.97 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Standard +0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Gent +0.25 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 65% | 1.47 |
| Under | 35% | 2.76 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Matías Fernández-Pardo · Gent |
| 17' | 🟨 | Kelvin Yeboah · Standard |
| 17' | ⚽ | Kelvin Yeboah · Standard |
| 66' | ⚽ | Matías Fernández-Pardo · Gent |
| 80' | ⚽ | Laurent Depoitre · Gent |
| 87' | ⚽ | Laurent Depoitre · Gent |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 18 |
| 2 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 11 |
| 11 | Fouls | 6 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Standard | Gent |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| venue | Stade Maurice Dufrasne |
| coach days | 138.00 | 1264.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.50 | 2.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1494.35 | 1677.56 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -52.08 | -0.27 |
| eye test v1 | 0.93 | 0.53 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.56 | -0.54 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.40 | 54.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.15 | 1.69 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.79 |
| league points | 51.00 | 76.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 10.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.20 | 81.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.00 | 50.20 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 6.30 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.11 | 1.65 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.40 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.22 | 0.69 |
| solidity v1 | -1.22 | -0.44 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.70 | 5.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 23.66 | 27.04 |
| state index | -1.10 | 0.43 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.91 | -0.17 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.82 | 1.44 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.50 | 1.99 |