← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Sat, May 18, 04:15 PM UTC · ref: M. Simonini
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Westerlo win | 42% | 2.60 |
| Mechelen win | 34% | 3.01 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.08 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Westerlo −0.25 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Mechelen −0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under | 34% | 2.86 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | ⚽ | Bilal Bafdili · Mechelen |
| 28' | 🟨 | Rob Schoofs · Mechelen |
| 90' | ⚽ | Rafik Belghali · Mechelen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 17 |
| 2 | On target | 7 |
| 10 | Corners | 5 |
| 8 | Fouls | 10 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Westerlo | Mechelen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| venue | Het Kuipje |
| coach days | 17.00 | 199.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.83 | 3.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1512.97 | 1590.68 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 21.58 | 1.37 |
| eye test v1 | 1.00 | -0.08 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.12 | 0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.50 | 60.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.52 | 0.56 |
| league points | 44.00 | 66.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 84.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.40 | 51.60 |
| rest days | 7.90 | 6.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 0.98 | 1.43 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 18.00 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.18 | 0.36 |
| solidity v1 | -1.15 | -0.48 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 24.85 | 28.01 |
| state index | 0.15 | 0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.40 | 0.78 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.95 | 1.64 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.09 |