← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Sun, May 12, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: K. Vermeiren
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St Truiden win | 41% | 2.38 |
| Mechelen win | 33% | 3.14 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.70 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen −0.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| St Truiden −0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 62% | 1.55 |
| Under | 38% | 2.54 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Mory Konate · Mechelen |
| 17' | ⚽ | Adriano Bertaccini · St Truiden |
| 39' | ⚽ | Adriano Bertaccini · St Truiden |
| 90' | 🟨 | Wolke Janssens · St Truiden |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 7 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 1 |
| 9 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | St Truiden | Mechelen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| venue | Daio Wasabi Stayen Stadium |
| coach days | 377.00 | 193.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 2.69 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1553.27 | 1600.30 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -30.07 | 1.33 |
| eye test v1 | 0.37 | 0.42 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.38 | -0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.40 | 59.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.18 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.56 |
| league points | 57.00 | 66.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 87.00 | 84.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.60 | 54.80 |
| rest days | 8.80 | 7.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 1.30 | 1.47 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.00 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.33 | 0.83 |
| solidity v1 | -1.60 | -0.70 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 23.99 | 28.19 |
| state index | -0.54 | 0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.46 | 0.61 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.95 | 1.68 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.71 | 1.62 |