← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Sat, May 11, 04:15 PM UTC · ref: W. Smet
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charleroi win | 43% | 2.31 |
| Kortrijk win | 31% | 3.50 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kortrijk −0.25 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Charleroi −0.25 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.67 |
| Under | 42% | 2.28 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | ⚽ (pen) | Daan Heymans · Charleroi |
| 38' | ⚽ | Antoine Bernier · Charleroi |
| 58' | ⚽ | Isaak Davies · Kortrijk |
| 70' | ⚽ | Youssuf Sylla · Charleroi |
| 90' | 🟨 | Abdelkahar Kadri · Kortrijk |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 9 |
| 8 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 8 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Charleroi | Kortrijk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade du Pays de Charleroi |
| coach days | 71.00 | 131.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 7.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.24 | 2.84 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1545.74 | 1443.28 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 52.52 | -1.40 |
| eye test v1 | 0.30 | -0.15 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.49 | 0.44 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 46.70 | 60.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 15.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.70 |
| league points | 52.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.00 | 73.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.80 | 48.80 |
| rest days | 7.09 | 5.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.42 |
| season ppg | 1.21 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.64 | -0.35 |
| solidity v1 | 0.95 | 0.19 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 26.00 | 24.36 |
| state index | 0.67 | -0.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.55 | -0.30 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.89 | 1.11 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.47 | 1.22 |