← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Sun, May 5, 05:15 PM UTC · ref: N. Verboomen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kortrijk win | 47% | 2.15 |
| AS Eupen win | 26% | 3.94 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.71 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AS Eupen −0.5 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Kortrijk −0.5 | 50% | 1.94 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.76 |
| Under | 45% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | 🟨 | Abdoulaye Sissako · Kortrijk |
| 16' | 🟨 | Renaud Emond · AS Eupen |
| 29' | 🟥 | Boris Lambert · AS Eupen |
| 45' | 🟨 | Isaak Davies · Kortrijk |
| 45' | 🟨 | Oleksandr Filin · AS Eupen |
| 45' | ⚽ | João Silva · Kortrijk |
| 68' | 🟨 | Lucas Pirard · Kortrijk |
| 81' | 🟨 | Nayel Mehssatou · Kortrijk |
| 81' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Youndje · AS Eupen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 10 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 15 | Fouls | 12 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kortrijk | AS Eupen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| venue | Guldensporenstadion |
| coach days | 125.00 | 65.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.88 | 0.82 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1437.09 | 1357.87 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.23 | -32.79 |
| eye test v1 | -0.26 | -0.84 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.36 | 0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.70 | 53.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.53 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.62 |
| league points | 40.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.20 | 75.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.80 | 45.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.94 |
| scorer concentration | 0.44 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 0.95 | 0.76 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.71 | -0.60 |
| solidity v1 | -0.27 | -0.79 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 24.54 | 25.19 |
| state index | -0.58 | -1.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.51 | 0.11 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.25 | 1.64 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.06 | 0.85 |