← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Sun, May 5, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: B. Van Driessche
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise win | 55% | 1.75 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.98 |
| Anderlecht win | 21% | 4.87 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise −0.75 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Anderlecht −0.75 | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.78 |
| Under | 46% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | 🟨 | Charles Vanhoutte · St. Gilloise |
| 33' | 🟨 | Killian Sardella · Anderlecht |
| 56' | 🟨 | Kevin Mac Allister · St. Gilloise |
| 75' | 🟨 | Lazare Amani · St. Gilloise |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 12 |
| 8 | On target | 9 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 8 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | St. Gilloise | Anderlecht |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.48 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.50 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stade Joseph Mariën |
| coach days | 309.00 | 521.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.23 | 1.27 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1801.89 | 1769.27 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.49 | 1.37 |
| eye test v1 | 1.22 | 0.28 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.35 | -0.36 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 67.40 | 52.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.18 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.73 |
| league points | 92.00 | 87.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.00 | 72.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.20 | 50.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 2.14 | 2.02 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 8.20 | -6.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.10 | -0.12 |
| solidity v1 | 1.03 | -1.08 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 26.63 | 27.11 |
| state index | 0.63 | 0.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.72 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.74 | 1.83 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.91 | 1.59 |