← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Sat, May 4, 04:15 PM UTC · ref: J. Boterberg
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent win | 46% | 2.07 |
| Mechelen win | 29% | 3.30 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen +0.5 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Gent +0.5 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 68% | 1.40 |
| Under | 32% | 3.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | ⚽ | Geoffry Hairemans · Mechelen |
| 25' | ⚽ | Matías Fernández-Pardo · Gent |
| 31' | 🟨 | Sandy Walsh · Mechelen |
| 32' | ⚽ | Islam Slimani · Mechelen |
| 41' | 🟨 | Daam Foulon · Mechelen |
| 42' | ⚽ | Stefan Mitrović · Gent |
| 45' | ⚽ | Tarik Tissoudali · Gent |
| 86' | ⚽ | Andrew Hjulsager · Gent |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 15 | Shots | 13 |
| 8 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 11 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mechelen | Gent |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| venue | AFAS Stadion |
| coach days | 185.00 | 1250.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.69 | 2.01 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1614.45 | 1694.23 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 21.27 | 0.50 |
| eye test v1 | 0.57 | 1.14 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.50 | -0.39 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.70 | 56.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.40 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.79 |
| league points | 66.00 | 73.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.60 | 81.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.00 | 54.20 |
| rest days | 7.09 | 6.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.70 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 16.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.86 | 1.18 |
| solidity v1 | -0.64 | -0.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 6.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 26.96 | 25.94 |
| state index | 0.50 | 0.56 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.05 | -0.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.58 | 1.33 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 2.13 | 2.42 |