← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Sun, Apr 28, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: W. De Cremer
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise win | 61% | 1.58 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.02 |
| Antwerp win | 16% | 6.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Antwerp −1 | 52% | 1.88 |
| St. Gilloise −1 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.88 |
| Under | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | ⚽ | Vincent Janssen · Antwerp |
| 21' | 🟨 | Alhassan Yusuf · Antwerp |
| 30' | 🟨 | Owen Wijndal · Antwerp |
| 33' | 🟨 | Noah Sadiki · St. Gilloise |
| 34' | 🟨 | Gyrano Kerk · Antwerp |
| 37' | ⚽ | Gustaf Nilsson · St. Gilloise |
| 39' | ⚽ | Kevin Mac Allister · St. Gilloise |
| 52' | 🟨 | Ritchie De Laet · Antwerp |
| 54' | ⚽ | Cameron Puertas · St. Gilloise |
| 74' | 🟨 | Henok Teklab · St. Gilloise |
| 90' | ⚽ | Cameron Puertas |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 3 |
| 10 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 14 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | St. Gilloise | Antwerp |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.76 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade Joseph Mariën |
| coach days | 302.00 | 728.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.02 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.25 | 3.07 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.36 |
| elo | 1791.72 | 1696.52 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -31.35 | -42.30 |
| eye test v1 | 0.84 | -0.75 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.27 | 0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.40 | 55.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.69 |
| league points | 89.00 | 66.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.80 | 78.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.80 | 54.20 |
| rest days | 2.92 | 2.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 2.12 | 1.57 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.00 | -7.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.12 | -0.13 |
| solidity v1 | 0.71 | -0.98 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 27.18 | 24.78 |
| state index | 0.27 | -0.43 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.51 | 0.86 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.87 | 1.50 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.86 | 0.70 |