← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Sat, Apr 27, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: B. Staessens
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent win | 74% | 1.29 |
| Draw | 15% | 6.50 |
| Westerlo win | 11% | 9.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent −1.5 | 55% | 1.74 |
| Westerlo −1.5 | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 74% | 1.29 |
| Under | 26% | 3.70 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | ⚽ | Lucas Stassin · Westerlo |
| 19' | ⚽ | Omri Gandelman · Gent |
| 21' | ⚽ | Matías Fernández-Pardo · Gent |
| 34' | ⚽ | Nicolas Madsen · Westerlo |
| 54' | 🟨 | Lucas Stassin · Westerlo |
| 54' | 🟨 | Haspolat Dogucan · Westerlo |
| 64' | ⚽ | Julien De Sart · Gent |
| 75' | 🟨 | Stefan Mitrović · Gent |
| 80' | 🟨 | Ravil Tagir · Westerlo |
| 84' | 🟨 | Jordan Torunarigha · Gent |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 15 | Shots | 23 |
| 6 | On target | 7 |
| 3 | Corners | 10 |
| 9 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gent | Westerlo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.45 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.48 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 3.00 |
| venue | Planet Group Arena |
| coach days | 1243.00 | 57.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.05 | 2.57 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1690.56 | 1491.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.85 | -18.04 |
| eye test v1 | 1.27 | 0.43 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.45 | 0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.00 | 54.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.64 |
| league points | 70.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 12.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 10.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.40 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.80 | 40.20 |
| rest days | 4.01 | 4.01 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.67 | 0.95 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.40 | -6.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.40 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.21 | -0.53 |
| solidity v1 | 0.53 | -1.87 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 24.77 | 23.68 |
| state index | 0.82 | -1.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.01 | -1.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.06 | 2.23 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 2.46 | 1.29 |