← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Sat, Apr 27, 04:15 PM UTC · ref: J. Boterberg
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Standard win | 48% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.75 |
| St Truiden win | 26% | 3.78 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Standard −0.25 | 55% | 1.74 |
| St Truiden −0.25 | 45% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.67 |
| Under | 42% | 2.28 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ | Ryoya Ogawa · St Truiden |
| 23' | 🟨 | Kahveh Zahiroleslam · St Truiden |
| 37' | 🟨 | Mathias Delorge · St Truiden |
| 63' | ⚽ | Jonathan Panzo · Standard |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 11 |
| 6 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 6 | Fouls | 10 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Standard | St Truiden |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.49 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stade Maurice Dufrasne |
| coach days | 117.00 | 362.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.17 | 1.25 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1545.93 | 1551.89 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.19 | -21.73 |
| eye test v1 | 1.09 | 0.61 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.52 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.40 | 66.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.71 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.75 |
| league points | 50.00 | 55.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.20 | 88.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.40 | 64.80 |
| rest days | 3.91 | 3.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.19 | 1.31 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.80 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.26 | 1.55 |
| solidity v1 | -0.39 | -1.75 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 8.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 23.95 | 24.13 |
| state index | -0.14 | -0.53 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.59 | 1.57 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.56 | 2.02 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.38 | 1.62 |