← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Fri, Apr 26, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: B. Put
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charleroi win | 45% | 2.30 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
| AS Eupen win | 27% | 4.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charleroi +0.25 | 55% | 1.75 |
| AS Eupen +0.25 | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.71 |
| Over | 44% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Antoine Bernier · Charleroi |
| 33' | 🟨 | Brandon Baiye · AS Eupen |
| 41' | ⚽ | Oday Dabbagh · Charleroi |
| 56' | 🟨 | Etienne Camara · Charleroi |
| 86' | ⚽ | Bartosz Białek · AS Eupen |
| 89' | 🟨 | Jan Král · AS Eupen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 12 | Shots | 12 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AS Eupen | Charleroi |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| venue | Kehrwegstadion |
| coach days | 56.00 | 56.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 7.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 3.78 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1365.52 | 1508.81 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -33.76 | -0.10 |
| eye test v1 | -0.89 | 0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.04 | 0.47 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.40 | 49.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.52 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.74 |
| league points | 31.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.40 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.00 | 54.60 |
| rest days | 5.06 | 5.06 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 0.78 | 1.07 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.40 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.79 | 0.16 |
| solidity v1 | -0.99 | 0.35 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.70 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 24.70 | 25.36 |
| state index | -1.35 | -0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.00 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.71 | 1.17 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.85 | 1.32 |