← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Wed, Apr 24, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: B. Van Driessche
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 50% | 1.95 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.86 |
| Club Brugge win | 25% | 4.04 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht −0.5 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Club Brugge −0.5 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.68 |
| Under | 43% | 2.26 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 31' | ⚽ | Theo Leoni · Anderlecht |
| 33' | ⚽ | Anders Dreyer · Anderlecht |
| 37' | 🟨 | Warleson · Club Brugge |
| 44' | 🟨 | Leonardo Lopes · Club Brugge |
| 53' | 🟨 | Félix Lemaréchal · Club Brugge |
| 56' | ⚽ | Theo Leoni · Anderlecht |
| 90' | 🟨 | Luis Vázquez · Anderlecht |
| 90' | 🟨 | Malamine Efekele · Club Brugge |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 7 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 6 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Anderlecht | Club Brugge |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.45 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.49 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.20 |
| venue | Lotto Park |
| coach days | 510.00 | 601.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.91 | 3.57 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1753.29 | 1749.42 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -19.70 | 28.81 |
| eye test v1 | 0.35 | 0.00 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.23 | -0.35 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.60 | 51.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.40 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.55 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| league points | 83.00 | 119.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 63.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.20 | 43.60 |
| rest days | 3.99 | 3.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.50 |
| season ppg | 2.02 | 1.72 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.08 | -0.96 |
| solidity v1 | -0.97 | -0.69 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 27.99 | 23.94 |
| state index | 0.36 | 0.84 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.22 | -1.25 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.71 | 1.69 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.16 | 1.56 |