← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Tue, Apr 23, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Allaerts
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Standard win | 38% | 2.59 |
| Mechelen win | 35% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.58 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Standard +0 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Mechelen +0 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.70 |
| Under | 43% | 2.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 80' | 🟨 | Sandy Walsh · Mechelen |
| 90' | 🟨 | Boli Bolingoli · Mechelen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 21 | Shots | 6 |
| 6 | On target | 1 |
| 8 | Corners | 4 |
| 9 | Fouls | 6 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Standard | Mechelen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.44 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.51 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.79 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stade Maurice Dufrasne |
| coach days | 113.00 | 174.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 7.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.99 | 2.70 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1546.43 | 1589.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.65 | -6.55 |
| eye test v1 | 1.10 | 0.99 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.50 | -0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.80 | 62.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.64 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.70 |
| league points | 49.00 | 59.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.80 | 82.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.80 | 49.60 |
| rest days | 3.09 | 3.02 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.20 | 1.44 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.40 | 0.88 |
| solidity v1 | -0.93 | -0.98 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 24.02 | 27.92 |
| state index | -0.25 | -0.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.33 | -0.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.61 | 1.54 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.51 | 2.22 |