← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Sun, Apr 21, 05:15 PM UTC · ref: W. Smet
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charleroi win | 54% | 1.78 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.58 |
| AS Eupen win | 19% | 5.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AS Eupen −0.75 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Charleroi −0.75 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.74 |
| Over | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Daan Heymans · Charleroi |
| 18' | 🟨 | Isaac Nuhu · AS Eupen |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jonas Bager · Charleroi |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 9 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 8 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Charleroi | AS Eupen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stade du Pays de Charleroi |
| coach days | 51.00 | 51.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.68 | 0.82 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1503.86 | 1370.47 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.21 | -15.97 |
| eye test v1 | -0.66 | -0.72 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.47 | 0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.80 | 56.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.65 |
| league points | 40.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.40 | 74.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.60 | 41.00 |
| rest days | 7.14 | 8.14 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.03 | 0.79 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.28 | -0.76 |
| solidity v1 | 0.25 | -0.53 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 24.92 | 25.27 |
| state index | -0.31 | -1.15 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.41 | -0.45 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.27 | 1.44 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.95 | 1.03 |