← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Sat, Apr 20, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: J. Lardot
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk win | 42% | 2.28 |
| Anderlecht win | 30% | 3.21 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht −0.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Genk −0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.85 |
| Under | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Tolu Arokodare · Genk |
| 38' | 🟨 | Francis Amuzu · Anderlecht |
| 75' | ⚽ | Anders Dreyer · Anderlecht |
| 90' | 🟨 | Matías Galarza · Genk |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Andi Zeqiri · Genk |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 22 | Shots | 9 |
| 10 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Genk | Anderlecht |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.56 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.48 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.60 |
| venue | Cegeka Arena |
| coach days | 720.00 | 506.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.48 | 1.91 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1702.79 | 1763.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 27.27 | -28.00 |
| eye test v1 | 0.06 | 0.78 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.11 | 0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 66.10 | 57.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.82 |
| league points | 64.00 | 83.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 80.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.00 | 56.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.64 | 2.08 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.17 | 0.63 |
| solidity v1 | 0.98 | 0.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.00 |
| squad age | 24.27 | 27.75 |
| state index | 0.77 | 0.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.04 | 0.57 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.98 | 1.27 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.44 | 1.53 |