← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Sat, Apr 20, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: E. Lambrechts
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent win | 60% | 1.58 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.34 |
| Mechelen win | 18% | 5.47 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen −1 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Gent −1 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 64% | 1.51 |
| Under | 36% | 2.64 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | 🟨 | Islam Slimani · Mechelen |
| 34' | 🟨 | Jordan Torunarigha · Gent |
| 37' | ⚽ | Tarik Tissoudali · Gent |
| 62' | ⚽ | Islam Slimani · Mechelen |
| 65' | ⚽ | Omri Gandelman · Gent |
| 75' | ⚽ | Hyun-Seok Hong · Gent |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 7 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 8 | Fouls | 4 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gent | Mechelen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.45 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.81 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| venue | Planet Group Arena |
| coach days | 1236.00 | 171.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.10 | 3.00 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1668.17 | 1598.97 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.61 | 3.12 |
| eye test v1 | 1.44 | 1.20 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.09 | 0.56 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.00 | 62.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.57 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.71 |
| league points | 64.00 | 59.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.20 | 81.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.20 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 6.03 | 7.07 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.60 | 1.48 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.20 | 15.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.08 | 1.00 |
| solidity v1 | 0.81 | -0.69 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.10 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.00 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 25.85 | 27.78 |
| state index | 0.78 | 0.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.39 | -0.47 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.75 | 1.44 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.54 |