← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Sat, Apr 20, 04:15 PM UTC · ref: S. Bourdeaud'hui
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Standard win | 39% | 2.45 |
| Westerlo win | 34% | 2.89 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.59 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Westerlo +0.25 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Standard +0.25 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.73 |
| Under | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | ⚽ | Wilfried Kanga · Standard |
| 29' | ⚽ | Matija Frigan · Westerlo |
| 49' | ⚽ | Lucas Stassin · Westerlo |
| 59' | ⚽ (pen) | Griffin Yow · Westerlo |
| 62' | 🟨 | Bryan Reynolds · Westerlo |
| 73' | 🟨 | Hayao Kawabe · Standard |
| 78' | ⚽ | Steven Alzate · Standard |
| 90' | ⚽ | Konstantinos Laifis · Standard |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 17 |
| 6 | On target | 8 |
| 6 | Corners | 7 |
| 8 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Westerlo | Standard |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.63 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.50 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.76 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 1.40 |
| venue | Het Kuipje |
| coach days | 50.00 | 110.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.92 | 1.99 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1491.53 | 1546.27 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -35.25 | -3.19 |
| eye test v1 | 0.33 | 0.79 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.40 | 49.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.58 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.52 | 0.67 |
| league points | 37.00 | 48.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 15.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 81.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 39.00 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 0.95 | 1.20 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.71 | 0.22 |
| solidity v1 | -1.76 | -0.51 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.00 |
| squad age | 23.80 | 24.22 |
| state index | -1.00 | -0.31 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.19 | -0.13 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 2.50 | 1.44 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.18 | 1.39 |