← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Sun, Apr 14, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: N. Laforge
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charleroi win | 40% | 2.43 |
| Kortrijk win | 31% | 3.21 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kortrijk +0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Charleroi +0.25 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.72 |
| Over | 44% | 2.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 32' | 🟨 | Etienne Camara · Charleroi |
| 45' | ⚽ | Isaak Davies · Kortrijk |
| 54' | ⚽ | Antoine Bernier · Charleroi |
| 90' | ⚽ | Achraf Dari · Charleroi |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 12 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 12 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kortrijk | Charleroi |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| venue | Guldensporenstadion |
| coach days | 104.00 | 44.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.41 | 3.66 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1455.32 | 1493.23 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 23.30 | 1.16 |
| eye test v1 | -0.67 | -0.82 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.03 | 0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.60 | 51.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 0.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.73 |
| league points | 34.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.00 | 72.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.60 | 46.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.43 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 0.92 | 0.97 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.85 | -0.80 |
| solidity v1 | 0.36 | -0.08 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 24.77 | 25.04 |
| state index | 0.10 | -0.44 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.30 | 0.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.12 | 1.38 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.96 | 0.77 |