← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Sat, Apr 13, 04:15 PM UTC · ref: A. Denil
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen win | 57% | 1.75 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.19 |
| Westerlo win | 20% | 5.14 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Westerlo −1 | 53% | 1.80 |
| Mechelen −1 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.63 |
| Under | 40% | 2.37 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | ⚽ | Josimar Alcócer · Westerlo |
| 29' | ⚽ | Romeo Vermant · Westerlo |
| 45' | 🟨 | Tuur Rommens · Westerlo |
| 45' | 🟨 | Romeo Vermant · Westerlo |
| 45' | 🟨 | Romeo Vermant · Westerlo |
| 45' | 🟥 | Romeo Vermant · Westerlo |
| 56' | ⚽ | Elias Cobbaut · Mechelen |
| 66' | ⚽ | Islam Slimani · Mechelen |
| 90' | 🟨 | Norman Bassette · Mechelen |
| 90' | 🟨 | Nicolas Madsen · Westerlo |
| 90' | ⚽ (og) | Ravil Tagir · Mechelen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 23 | Shots | 14 |
| 6 | On target | 7 |
| 13 | Corners | 6 |
| 13 | Fouls | 7 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mechelen | Westerlo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.57 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.80 |
| venue | AFAS Stadion |
| coach days | 164.00 | 43.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.66 | 5.10 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1593.18 | 1497.33 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.19 | -42.46 |
| eye test v1 | 1.05 | 0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.33 | 0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 66.20 | 52.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.54 |
| league points | 56.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 78.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.00 | 44.20 |
| rest days | 7.90 | 5.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.44 | 0.97 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.59 | -0.33 |
| solidity v1 | -0.40 | -0.77 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 26.08 | 23.70 |
| state index | -0.01 | -0.95 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.62 | -0.55 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.33 | 1.94 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 2.38 | 1.10 |