← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Sun, Apr 7, 05:15 PM UTC · ref: W. Smet
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent win | 53% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.32 |
| Westerlo win | 23% | 4.41 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent +0.75 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Westerlo +0.75 | 50% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.56 |
| Under | 39% | 2.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟥 | Nick Gillekens · Westerlo |
| 6' | 🟨 | Bakary Haidara · Westerlo |
| 8' | 🟨 | Julien De Sart · Gent |
| 22' | ⚽ | Omri Gandelman · Gent |
| 24' | ⚽ | Tarik Tissoudali · Gent |
| 27' | 🟨 | Haspolat Dogucan · Westerlo |
| 37' | 🟨 | Bakary Haidara · Westerlo |
| 37' | 🟥 | Bakary Haidara · Westerlo |
| 62' | 🟨 | Tuur Rommens · Westerlo |
| 69' | 🟨 | Tarik Tissoudali · Gent |
| 84' | 🟨 | Lucas Stassin · Westerlo |
| 90' | ⚽ | Omri Gandelman · Gent |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 3 | Shots | 21 |
| 3 | On target | 7 |
| 1 | Corners | 8 |
| 16 | Fouls | 13 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 2 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Westerlo | Gent |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.59 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.54 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| venue | Het Kuipje |
| coach days | 37.00 | 1223.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.23 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 5.01 | 3.74 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1509.36 | 1681.70 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -38.76 | 6.63 |
| eye test v1 | -0.02 | 1.10 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.30 | 58.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 3.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.33 | 1.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.76 |
| league points | 37.00 | 61.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 13.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.80 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.00 | 50.00 |
| rest days | 7.03 | 8.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.65 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.07 | 0.31 |
| solidity v1 | -0.07 | -0.31 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 6.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 7.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.80 |
| squad age | 24.57 | 25.85 |
| state index | -0.65 | 0.56 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.63 | -0.05 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.62 | 1.36 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.37 | 1.86 |